We're back today with another exciting NBA playoff slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations throughout the NBA playoffs to expertly identify our best bets for tonight.
1. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-122)
Probability: -122
Probability: 70.8%
Rating: 15
Limit: 15.9%
Game: Lakers vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA playoff player prop bets in today's NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Lakers vs Nuggets game, and Nikola Jokic is showing value in the assist market. Our model dropped Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Total Assists as the best player bet today. Over the last 10 regular season games Jokic has managed to average a solid 8.9APG, with a 9.0 average over the course of the 23/24 season. Jokic should be in dinner mode tonight as the Nuggets look to close out the series against LA.
Our model recommends placing a wager Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Total Assists of -122 possibilities and attractive 15.9% limit by Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. JAYSON TATUM OVER 2.5 3 POINTERS MADE (-135)
Probability: -135
Probability: 67.9%
Rating: 4.4
Limit: 10.5%
Game: Celtics vs Heat (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, one of the top player prop bets on the NBA playoff slate occurred in the Celtics vs Heat game, with Jayson Tatum showing value in the three-point prop market. Tatum averaged 3.1 3-pointers per game on the season, and averaged 2.7 3-pointers against the Heat in the regular season. With Butler and Rozier listed as OUT for tonight's game, we should see Tatum get plenty of opportunities to continue swinging from behind the arc.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 3 Points Madewith 10.4% limit of +135 odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
3. DERRICK WHITE OVER 4.5 ASSISTS TOTAL (+124)
Probability: +124
Probability: 57.3%
Rating: 5.8
Limit: 12.7%
Game: Celtics vs Heat (7:30PM EST)
The next NBA player bet our betting bot recommends that the game comes down to Celtics vs Heat, with Derrick White showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season White managed to average 5.2 assists per game, our model predicts a total of 5.8 assists at the end of the 4th quarter. Against the Heat, White averaged 4.3 assists per game. This leads our Basketball Forever betting bot to predict that with the Celtics having a healthy roster and the Heat losing two of their top players, White will go through his lineup tonight.
Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Derrick White Over 4.5 Total Assists in tonight's game, which gives us i 12.7% limit you have +124 odds currently available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. D'ANGELO RUSSELL OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+105)
Probability: +105
Probability: 61.6%
Rating: 6.6
Limit: 12.8%
Game: Lakers vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
According to our model, the best NBA playoff player bet tonight is D'Angelo Russell in the Lakers vs Nuggets matchup. Our betting bot has priced D'Angelo Russell Over 4.5 Total Assists.
During the 2023/24 season Russell averaged 6.3 assists per game. Our model predicts that D-Russ will be able to cross the line – predicting a total of 6.6 assists in tonight's game.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting D'Angelo Russell Over 4.5 Total Assistswith the findings 12.8% limit again +105 exceptions at Draftkings Sportsbook.
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The edge occurs when Dimers.com's prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That's why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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