We're back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations from every game to intelligently identify our best playoff player bets for tonight's slate.
1. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 3.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+154)
Odds: +154
Probability: 53.1%
Assumptions: 4
Limit: 13.7%
Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bets in today's NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place on Cavaliers vs Celtics, with Jaylen Brown showing value in the full assist market. Our model has dropped Jaylen Brown Over 3.5 Total Assists as the best player bet today. Throughout the 23/24 season, Brown managed to average 3.6 assists per game. Against the Cavaliers – this number jumps to 4.3. The Celtics are long and round, and a very bad matchup for the Cavs who will struggle to protect the Celtics' wing depth. Brown should take it easy tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager Jaylen Brown Over 3.5 Total Assists of +154 issues and attractive 13.7% limit by Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DERRICK WHITE OVER 4.5 Total Assists (+130)
Probability: +130
Probability: 54.8%
Rating: 5.4
Limit: 11.3%
Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7PM EST)
According to our model, one of the best player prop bets on today's playoff slate happened in the Cavaliers vs Celtics game, with Derrick White's value in the top assist market. White was good in the first round, and he should continue to look to make it easy tonight – while Tatum and Brown could make a deal. Our model projects erase this number with all the help in G1 tonight.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Derrick White Over 4.5 Total Assistswith 11.3% limit of +130 odds available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-135)
Probability: -135
Probability: 63%
Rating: 6.9
Limit: 5.6%
Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7PM EST)
The next best NBA player bet recommended by our betting bot also comes in the Cavaliers vs Celtics game, with Donovan Mitchell showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Mitchell managed to average 6.1 APG, with a postseason average of 4.4 APG. Tonight, our model predicts he will hit 7 assists.
Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 Total Assists in tonight's game, which gives us i 5.9% limit you have -135 possibilities currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
4. DARIUS GARLAND OVER 5.5 OVERALLS (-115)
Probability: -115
Probability: 58.5%
Prediction: 7
Edge: 5.0%
Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7PM EST)
According to our model, tonight's best NBA finalist bet includes Darius Garland in the Cavaliers vs Celtics matchup. Our betting bot has priced Darius Garland Over 5.5 Total Assists.
Through the 2023/24 regular season Garland averaged 6.5 assists per game, averaging 7.0 against the Celtics throughout the regular season. Through the first round of the playoffs, Garland averaged 5.4 assists per game. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that with a postseason assists rating and a 7.0 average against the Celtics, we suspect this is the closest feature to a no-sweat bet tonight on the NBA slate.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Darius Garland Over 5.5 Total Assistswith the findings 5.0% limit again -115 possibilities at Draftkings Sportsbook.
What is the Edge in NBA Betting?
The edge occurs when Dimers.com's prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That's why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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