We're back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations from every game to intelligently identify our best playoff player bets for tonight's slate.
1. JAMAL MURRAY OVER 6.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)
Probability: +120
Probability: 57.5%
Rating: 7.8
Limit: 12.1%
Game: Timberwolves vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bets in today's NBA matchups. The best player bet is on Timberwolves vs Nuggets, with Jamal Murray showing the number of assists made in the market. Our model dropped Jamal Murray Over 6.5 Total Assists as the best player bet today. In the entire 23/24 postseason Murray managed to average 7.2 assists per game. In all of the past 6 postseason games Murray has played in, he has been able to close this line 3/6 times, getting 4/7/5/9/5/10 assists per game respectively. Our Basketball Forever betting bot expects Murray to continue his preparation tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager Jamal Murray Over 6.5 Total Assists of +120 odds and attractive 12.1% limit by Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 15.5 POINTS WON (-110)
Probability: -110
Probability: 64%
Rating: 23
Limit: 11.6%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, another prop bet for the best player in today's playoff stable occurred in the Pacers vs. Knicks game, where Donte DiVincenzo showed value in the over-the-top points market. DiVincenzo is averaging 15.5 points per game on the season, and has surpassed that number in two of his last five games. Against the Pacers, DiVincenzo managed to score 24 points in the three regular season games they played against each other. Our model suspects that when it comes to the Knicks offense, Brunson will take a lot of attention away from other players including DiVincenzo, leaving room for him to make shots, jump higher on his score line.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Donte DiVincenzo Over 15.5 Points Scoredwith 11.6% limit of -110 possibilities available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
3. ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 5.5 Total Assists (+114)
Probability: +114
Probability: 57.1%
Rating: 6.7
Edge: 9.9%
Game: Timberwolves vs Nuggets (10PM EST)
The next best NBA prop player bet our betting bot recommends plays comes in the Timberwolves vs Nuggets game, with Anthony Edwards showing value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season Edward managed to average 5.1 assists per game. With the Timberwolves winning the first game of this series, our Model suspects that Edwards will continue to be the best general tonight.
Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 Total Assists in tonight's game, which gives us a 9.9% limit you have +114 issues currently available at Draftkings Sportsbook.
4. JOSH HART OVER 5.5 Total Assists (+130)
Probability: +130
Probability: 52.5%
Assumption: 6
Limit: 9.1%
Game: Pacers vs Knicks (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, the best final NBA player bet tonight will feature Josh Hart in the Pacers vs Knicks matchup. Our betting bot has priced Josh Hart Over 5.5 Total Assists.
During the 2023/24 season Hart averaged 4.1 assists per game. In this first series of the playoffs we have seen him exceed this number in 2/5 games, falling short of an assist in one of those. He plays nearly every 48 minutes, gets his hands on every loose ball, and seems to have a fun knack for making the right plays. Our model suggests that the end of this number is tonight's game.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Josh Hart Over 5.5 Total Assistswith the findings 9.1% limit again +130 odds at Draftkings Sportsbook.
What is the Edge in NBA Betting?
The edge occurs when Dimers.com's prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That's why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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