We're back today with another exciting NBA playoff slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations throughout the NBA playoffs to expertly identify our best bets for tonight.
1. LUGUENTZ DORT OVER 2.5 3 POINTS MADE (+150)
Odds: +150
Probability: 54.7%
Rating: 2.9
Limit: 14.7%
Game: Mavericks vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA playoff player prop bets in today's NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place on the Mavericks vs Thunder matchup, and Luguentz Dort shows a market value of 3 points overall. Our model has Luguenz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet today. Dort played a major role in the Thunder's 3-point attempts in the playoffs, racking up 2/4/4/2 in his postseason appearance against the Pelicans. Against the Mavs in the postseason, Dort managed to keep these numbers rolling, knocking down 3/2/2/2 3-pointers per game. With an average of 2.3 3-pointers per game against the Mavs and a 2.9 prediction for tonight's game, our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a bet on Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made.
Our model recommends placing a wager Luguenz Dort Over 2.5 3 References Made of +150 odds and attractive 14.7% limit by Fanduel Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 3.5 POINTS MADE (+112)
Probability: +112
Probability: 59.1%
Rating: 4.4
Limit: 12%
Game: Mavericks vs Thunder (9:30PM EST)
According to our model, one of the best player bets of today's NBA playoff slate also happened in the Mavericks vs Thunder game, with Luka Doncic showing value in the prop market with more than 3 points. Throughout the 23/24 playoffs, Luka has been hot and cold from beyond the arc. Against the Thunder, he went 2/1/5/1 in each game in a row. Our model suspects that after a sloppy performance in the past two games, averaging 1.5 3-pointers and 20 points, Doncic is expected to have a dominant game tonight. Averaging 3.2 3-pointers per game throughout the playoffs, we believe he will get hot and close this number.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Madewith 12% limit of +112 odds available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
4. JAYLEN BROWN OVER 24.5 POINTS (-110)
Probability: -110
Probability: 59.2%
Assumptions: 29.1
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7PM EST)
According to our model, tonight's best NBA finalist bet includes Jaylen Brown in the Cavaliers vs Celtics matchup. Our betting bot rated Jaylen Brown over 24.5 points scored.
During the 2023/24 regular season Brown averaged 23 points per game, with an average of 24.5 PPG in the postseason. When facing the Cavs in the postseason, Brown managed to exceed the 24.5 point mark in 3/4 games, only failing to do so in the game they lost. Since the Celtics are heavily favored, our model believes this is not a bet.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Jaylen Brown Scored Over 24.5 Pointswith the findings 6.9% limit again -110 possibilities at Draftkings Sportsbook.
What is the Edge in NBA Betting?
The edge occurs when Dimers.com's prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That's why the higher the edge, the better for you.
While the edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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