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Canelo Alvarez Vs. Jaime Munguia: Strategic analysis

Undisputed super middleweight champion Canelo Alvarez (60-2-2, 39 KOs) will defend his championship against former undefeated junior middleweight champion Jaime Munguia (43-0, 34 KOs) this Saturday, May 4 at the T-Mobile Arena in -Las Vegas, Nevada. This game has the effect of endless war.

Jaime Munguia is an offensive volume fighter looking to impose his will and eventually knock Canelo out. Will you succeed? Alvarez has fought many strong fighters in the past and his granite chin survived them all.

He fought Gennady Golovkin three times and former light heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev, defeating both of them. Munguia is a strong volume puncher who breaks down his opponents with his relentless pressure and volume.

According to Compubox, Munguia averages 63 punches per round while Canelo averages 40.8 punches per round. Canelo is sparing with his punches but effective, between the two, he has the higher connection percentage at 35.3%.

Munguia is an offensive puncher with very limited defense. If Canelo can reduce the effect of Munguia by defending effectively, he will open up holes for his attack.

Canelo must successfully defend by catching, sliding, and rolling Munguia's punches and then placing his counters well. Canelo in the past has had success against aggressive pressure fighters using this technique. He has excellent head movement, quick reflexes, and decently quick hands.

He is good at timing his opponents, making them miss, and countering them with precision. John Ryder faced Canelo Alvarez and Jaime Munguia and although he lost to both of them, offensively he struggled more against Canelo than he did against Munguia. He only connected on 17.5 percent of his punches against Canelo, as opposed to the 25.7 percent he connected on Munguia.

Jaime doesn't like mobile fighters, he usually fights those who fight using movement. Even limited movement creates offensive challenges for Munguia. Dennis Hogan beat Munguia in 2019 and exposed his limited leg movement, knocking him out with one punch 123 to 122 in his multiple decision loss.

Since then, other boxers have had limited success against Munguia by creating space and getting out of range. Sergiy Derevyanchenko (15-5, 10 KOs) outsmarted Munguia using movement and takedowns, knocking Munguia out in 6 of 12 rounds.

He also landed 32.4% of his power punches. The simple tactic that Sergiy used was simply out of place, Canelo is not mobile enough to use this tactic against Munguia.

Canelo Alvarez has the advantage in experience, defense, and strength. The big question will be if Canelo is 33 years old, has he aged to the point where his skills have diminished so much that they don't allow him to compete effectively with Munguia. He has the skill set to successfully defeat an overly aggressive volume punch.

Throughout the years he has fought in different boxing styles,
managing to adapt to all, this should not be different.

Munguia only holds a 2-inch reach and can only have an advantage on Jaime if he decides to make a surprise move by punching to the outside or if Munguia's counter punches can't hold up to Canelo's power, forcing him to step outside to avoid his own. boxing.

A hungry lion wants to overthrow the ruling king, will he succeed? Canelo doesn't seem ready to relinquish his title just yet.

Source: Compubox

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